The number of immigrants moving to Canada has significantly increased since 2013 indicating a change, in the migration patterns of highly skilled individuals from other countries. According to a study by the National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP), the population of immigrants in Canada has risen from 32,828 in 2013 to an impressive 139,715 in 2023—a remarkable surge of 326%, over a decade.
Preference for Canada Over the US
This surge can be attributed to the cumbersome immigration processes in the US. Many individuals are turning to Canada due, to the challenges associated with obtaining H1 B status or permanent residency. Canada offers a process for acquiring temporary status and permanent residency (PR) compared to the US, where the H 1B lottery system often leads to rejection, for most applicants forcing many to return home after finishing their studies.
Impact on International Student Enrolment
The preference for Canada extends beyond just skilled workers. Between 2016 and 2019 the number of students studying at universities, in the United States decreased by 5.6% while Canadian universities experienced an increase of 51.6%. This pattern is also evident among students with a 183% growth in enrolment at Canadian universities during that timeframe alongside a decline of 13%, in the US.
Policy Influences
Several policy changes under the Trump administration made it even harder to secure H-1B visas, with discussions about eliminating Optional Practical Training further fuelling concerns among international students. In contrast, Canada’s favorable stance is evidenced by its program for H-1B visa holders hitting its 10,000 caps within just 48 hours last July.
Broader Impact on Canadian Universities
The rise in international students isn’t limited to those from India. Between 2000 and 2021, international students at Canadian institutions swelled by an impressive 544%, from 62,223 to 400,521. This influx accounts for roughly 45% of the recent growth in enrolment at Canadian universities.
Future Prospects Amid Diplomatic Tensions
Despite recent India-Canada diplomatic tensions and a two-year cap on international study permits affecting visa processing times short-term, these developments are unlikely to impact long-term trends. With no significant changes to US immigration policies on the horizon, Indian students and skilled workers are expected to continue favoring Canada.