Overview of Recent Survey Findings
Recent tensions between India and Canada, especially following the death of Hardeep Singh Nijjar, have reportedly impacted how Canadians view India. A recent survey by the Angus Reid Institute (ARI) and the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada shows a stark decline in positive views towards India among Canadians, dropping from 56% in 2020 to just 26% today.
Political Influence on Bilateral Relations
The survey highlights that political leadership is a significant factor affecting these perceptions. About 39% of Canadians believe that relations with India will not see any improvement as long as Justin Trudeau serves as the Prime Minister. Similarly, 34% hold a negative view regarding India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Overall, 39% criticize the Trudeau government’s handling of relations with India, while 32% support it, and 29% remain undecided.
Comparative Views on Global Partners
Despite the decline in favorable views, India is still regarded more positively compared to Russia and China among Canadians. However, trust levels in New Delhi are a modest 28%. Previously, relations between Ottawa and New Delhi were deemed crucial by 52% of Canadians, which has plummeted to just 24%.
Potential for Improved Relations
Looking ahead to the parliamentary elections in 2025, there is speculation that if the Conservative Party secures victory with Pierre Poilievre as a potential Prime Minister, there could be fresh opportunities to mend and enhance bilateral ties between the two nations.
Public Opinion on Trade Negotiations
Interestingly, despite strained relations, 64% of Canadians think it’s important to resume trade talks with India. This perspective is primarily driven by concerns over potential tariffs threatened by former U.S. President Trump on Canadian exports.
Background on Diplomatic Tensions
The diplomatic rift can be traced back to allegations made by Justin Trudeau last September. He suggested Indian government involvement in the murder of Khalistani separatist Hardeep Singh Nijjar in Surrey on June 18, 2023. The situation further deteriorated when Canada identified Indian diplomats as “persons of interest”. In response, India withdrew its high commissioner from Canada as a measure against these allegations.
